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| BUCK THE CREDIT CRUNCH STARTING AN ONLINE BUSINESS |
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| Monday, 22 December 2008 | |
Recession-Proofing Starting an Online BusinessReferences - Times online ecommerce planning for the future .To really buck the credit crunch , you need two things a counter cyclical business model and a platform that has lowered it's cost and technical barriers to entry by adopting an open source business model . STARTING AN ONLINE BUSINESSAccording to ONS [OFFICE OF NATIONAL STATISTICS} online spending rose in the UK in November 2008 ,accounted for 3.8 percent of total retail spending . Defying the recession .The figure is higher in the US , and is only set to rise , driven by a desire for 24/7 convenience , the perception of lower costs , global reach and ultra low fixed costs .Much of this recent growth is being driven by entrepreneurs seeing opportunity in upheaval and small cap retailers seeking to leverage an existing customer base and reputation online . Depending on your exposure to the credit crunch .Reading this article is either prudent planning for the future .Or a vital step in saving your business , by cutting overheads . In which case there is no time to lose .As with all change there is a learning curve , a time lag between setting up and operating , with our help , the sooner you get started ,the sooner you will become a savvy online operator . Able to set up and operate an automated e commerce venture . ECONOMIC OUTLOOKHow the credit crunch feeds into the real economy .Driven by the collapse of housing prices , paper wealth is eroded . Banks who have over leveraged themselves are forced into unwinding lending positions . When Lehman brothers is allowed to collapse a domino effect occurs and the Icelandic banks go down , creating 1929 hysteria , banks are no longer safe . Banks looking to balance the books stop lending and start hoarding . The credit crunch starves business of short term finance and cash flow becomes an issue , business cut back on capital investment looking to conserve cash . At the same time consumption falls off a cliff . Demand declines costs are cut and jobs go , the specter of unemployment halts spending as employees save for rainy day . The result the economy is sent into a death spiral . WHAT WILL THE NEXT 2 YEARS HOLDSHORT TERM OUTLOOK : 3 12 MONTHSYou need to focus on the safety net against defaults on housing repayments , government backed loan guarantees ,interest rate cuts and falling commodity and fuel prices and ignore tax .It is these factors that feed through first and lead to an increase in real wealth for the majority of population who are salaried with a mortgage . Panic that these measures have not worked are premature , the trickle down is lagged resulting in stored up spending powerThe reasons why are down to Consumer confidence - a fear that business is going to get worse leading to unemployment and a possible change in outlook as a society we may no longer look to spend next months pay-check today . The perception prices which will fall further Profit taking - by banks and energy companies. MEDIUM TERM OUTLOOK : 6 18 MONTHSThe cost of money and existing debt will be lowered as loans are renegotiated . The banks and the fuel companies end the profit taking cycle after clawing back losses , the stock market starts to stabilize and pension funds will breathe again as the stock market bottoms out and starts to rise slowly . 6 18 monthsLONG TERM OUTLOOK : 18 48 MONTHSOnly in the long term will loans be restored to previous levels as risk takers and home buyers are priced in by a combination of cheap money and rising levels of consumer sentiment , increasing demand for housing , pushing the price up , 18 48 months [chastened banks will be gun shy for some time ] .If You Dont have a transactional Website you are losing business to your competitorsHard times drive innovations . Those who survive are the first to adapt , they see problems as opportunities , when the good times return , they are leaner and fitter . They realize that the definition of insanity is doing the same thing you have always done and expecting different results . When the facts change you need to change your behavior .You have 2 years , in that 2 years business around you will go bust .The downturn will not last forever , with luck you will come through it . You need to ask yourself these questions now is it time to change your Business model ? Is the financial shock enough to motivate a change in business model ? is it time for you to start planning for a future Online ? Barriers to EntryAt its most basic if you can use e-mail then you can operate online .There are a few things you WEB BUSINESS ARE BOOMING CASE STUDYCAVEATS -Sounds like a lot of work well it is'nt . The web 2.0 revolution has moved the internet on , the initial jump is no longer a huge leap of faith . it once was , you just need a willingness to experiment and to embrace change . |
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| Last Updated ( Sunday, 03 May 2009 ) |
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